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1
Beck Dominik (?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

Livraison à partir de : États-Unis d’AmériqueLivre en allemandIl s’agit d’un livre de pocheNouveau livre

ISBN: 9783639407556 (?) ou 3639407555, en allemand, BLUES KIDS OF AMER 01/10/2014, Livre de poche, Nouveau

34,99 + Expédition à la France: 3,13 = 38,12(sans obligation)
Du vendeur/antiquaire, Paperbackshop-US [8408184], Secaucus, NJ, U.S.A.
New Book. This item is printed on demand. Shipped from US This item is printed on demand.
Commentaire de vendeur Paperbackshop-US [8408184], Secaucus, NJ, U.S.A.:
Händlerbewertung: 5, NEW BOOK, New
Numéro de commande de plate-forme Abebooks.de: 12544165634
Données de 19-10-2014 03:05h
ISBN (notations alternatives): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
2
Dominik Beck (?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

Livraison à partir de : AllemagneLivre en allemandIl s’agit d’un livre de pocheNouveau livreréimpression

ISBN: 9783639407556 (?) ou 3639407555, en allemand, Av Akademikerverlag Mrz 2014, Livre de poche, Nouveau, réimpression

32,95 + Expédition à la France: 15,50 = 48,45(sans obligation)
Du vendeur/antiquaire, AHA-BUCH GmbH [51283250], Einbeck, NDS, Germany
This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware - Forecasting is of utmost importance in statistics. Besides the very popular point forecasts, there are probability forecasts which naturally incorporate the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Probability forecasts have first been used in meteorology, however, applications are manifold, E.g. in economics the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In order to determine 'good' probability forecasts, the concepts of sharpness and calibration are introduced. Calibration which is the statistical consistency between the forecasts and the observations, is assessed by the Probability Integral Transform (PIT). Sharpness measures the extent to which a probabilistic forecast is spread out and is assessed on the basis of so called scoring rules. These scoring rules are introduced along with some properties, the most important being (strict) propriety. Different scoring rules are introduced such as the quadratic score, the log score or the Ranked Probability Score. The empirical analysis is based on the SPF dataset. In addition to the single forecasts of the participants to the SPF, linear and logarithmic combinations with different weighting schemes of these single forecasts are analysed. Finally, statistical tests for equal predictice power in the sense of the well-known Diebold-Mariano test of these combinations are introduced and used to search for the best combination scheme. 92 pp. Englisch
Commentaire de vendeur AHA-BUCH GmbH [51283250], Einbeck, NDS, Germany:
Händlerbewertung: 5, NEW BOOK, New
Numéro de commande de plate-forme Abebooks.de: 10407758249
Données de 19-10-2014 03:05h
ISBN (notations alternatives): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
3
Beck Dominik (?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2012) (?)

Livraison à partir de : AllemagneLivre en allemandIl s’agit d’un livre de pocheNouveau livreréimpression

ISBN: 9783639407556 (?) ou 3639407555, en allemand, AV Akademikerverlag, Livre de poche, Nouveau, réimpression

32,95 + Expédition à la France: 3,49 = 36,44(sans obligation)
Du vendeur/antiquaire, English-Book-Service - A Fine Choice [1048135], Waldshut-Tiengen, Germany
This item is printed on demand for shipment within 3 working days.
Commentaire de vendeur English-Book-Service - A Fine Choice [1048135], Waldshut-Tiengen, Germany:
Händlerbewertung: 5, NEW BOOK, New
Numéro de commande de plate-forme Abebooks.de: 13788275695
Données de 19-10-2014 03:05h
ISBN (notations alternatives): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
4
Beck Dominik (?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (2014) (?)

Livraison à partir de : AllemagneLivre en allemandIl s’agit d’un livre de pocheNouveau livre

ISBN: 9783639407556 (?) ou 3639407555, en allemand, BLUES KIDS OF AMER 01/10/2014, Livre de poche, Nouveau

34,80 + Expédition à la France: 11,35 = 46,15(sans obligation)
Du vendeur/antiquaire, Books2Anywhere [190245], Fairford, GLO, United Kingdom
New Book. Shipped from UK. This item is printed on demand.
Commentaire de vendeur Books2Anywhere [190245], Fairford, GLO, United Kingdom:
Händlerbewertung: 5, NEW BOOK, New
Numéro de commande de plate-forme Abebooks.de: 13763078626
Données de 19-10-2014 03:05h
ISBN (notations alternatives): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6
9783639407556 - Beck, Dominik: Evaluating Probability Forecasts - Livre
5
Beck, Dominik (?):

Evaluating Probability Forecasts (?)

Livraison à partir de : AllemagneLivre en allemandIl s’agit d’un livre de pocheNouveau livre

ISBN: 9783639407556 (?) ou 3639407555, en allemand, Av Akademikerverlag, Livre de poche, Nouveau

Livraison gratuite
buecher.de GmbH & Co. KG, [1]
Forecasting is of utmost importance in statistics. Besides the very popular point forecasts, there are probability forecasts which naturally incorporate the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Probability forecasts have first been used in meteorology, however, applications are manifold, E.g. in economics the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In order to determine "good" probability forecasts, the concepts of sharpness and calibration are introduced. Calibration which is the statistical consistency between the forecasts and the observations, is assessed by the Probability Integral Transform (PIT). Sharpness measures the extent to which a probabilistic forecast is spread out and is assessed on the basis of so called scoring rules. These scoring rules are introduced along with some properties, the most important being (strict) propriety. Different scoring rules are introduced such as the quadratic score, the log score or the Ranked Probability Score. The empirical analysis is based on the SPF dataset. In addition to the single forecasts of the participants to the SPF, linear and logarithmic combinations with different weighting schemes of these single forecasts are analysed. Finally, statistical tests for equal predictice power in the sense of the well-known Diebold-Mariano test of these combinations are introduced and used to search for the best combination scheme.92 S. 220 mmVersandfertig in 3-5 Tagen, Softcover
Commentaire de vendeur buecher.de GmbH & Co. KG, [1]:
Händlerbewertung: 99.0%
Données de 24-09-2015 16:49h
ISBN (notations alternatives): 3-639-40755-5, 978-3-639-40755-6

9783639407556

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